![]() ![]() To foster communication within and between operational and research communities ![]() To report on current knowledge, forecasting and research trends on tropical cyclones from an integrated global perspective Its theme “Improved tropical cyclone science and services for better-decision making” reflects the need to optimize decisions and community action at every point along the end-to-end warning chain. More than 120 experts are expected to be present at the workshop. It is sponsored by WMO’s Tropical Cyclone Programme and World Weather Research Programme and is held every four years to bring together operational forecasters and the research communities. In order to advance knowledge and collaboration, the tenth session of the International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones will take place in Bali from 5 to 9 December 2022, hosted by Indonesia’s national meteorological service BMKG. International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones Between 19, more than 1 900 disasters have been attributed to tropical cyclones, which killed nearly 780 000 people and caused US$ 1 407.6 billion in economic losses, according to the WMO Atlas of Mortality and Economic Losses from Weather, Climate and Water Extremes.Ĭlimate change is expected to lead to an increase in the proportion of major tropical cyclones and to increase the heavy rainfall associated with these events, whilst sea level rise and coastal development is worsening the impact of coastal flooding. Tropical Cyclones – also known as hurricanes and typhoons - are one of the biggest threats to life and property, with deadly hazards including storm surge, flooding, extreme winds, tornadoes and lightning. A succession of tropical cyclones rolled back sustainable development in the Indian Ocean Island of Madagascar. In addition to the loss and damage witnessed in the Atlantic and Caribbean, powerful tropical hit Asia (including China, Japan, the Philippines and Viet Nam) in 2022. But it takes just one landfalling storm to wreck communities and economies. The 2022 season was quieter than 20, which were both so active that the regular list of rotating names was exhausted. Two intensified to major hurricanes – Fiona and Ian - with winds of more than 178 kmh (111 mph), according to the end-of-season tally from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).Īn average hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. In total, this hurricane season produced 14 named storms, with winds of 63 kmh (39 mph) or greater, of which eight became hurricanes, with winds of 119 kmh (74 mph) or greater. Progress in forecasting and accurate early warnings has prevented much loss of life, but more remains to be done – and this will be the focus of an international workshop, held once every four years. The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season officially ends on November 30, but the impact of the most devastating storms will continue for many months to come. I find the comparison to past years a bit thin as a real predictor (there just isn’t enough data), but the waning La Nina and weak El Nino that is forecast probably holds some salt.Bali tropical cyclone workshop on improved science and services So while 2001 may have been near average, it was a bit above and included Tropical Storm Allison! and Canada).įollowing the La Nina years of 1998-2000, the 2001 season totaled 15 storms, nine hurricanes and four major (average is 14-seven-three). So it stands to reason to ask what kind of hurricane season followed those three-year stints? The answer is near or below-normal! In 1957, the storm count came in below as there were eight tropical storms, three hurricanes and two major - although take note that activity in the Gulf was very busy and one of those majors was Hurricane Audrey which decimated Cameron, Louisiana (416 people died across the U.S. We’ve had a La Nina pattern (cool Pacific waters) for the past three years and since 1950 that has only happened two other times, 1954-2000. They base this on, as they admit, very preliminary data and conjecture, largely centered around La Nina and El Niño. ![]() TSR has been in the forecasting business since the early 1990s and most recently is headed up Dr. 9, calling for a “below-normal” hurricane season. Believe it or not, 2023 hurricane forecasts actually showed up last month and a group out of England, Tropical Storm Risk, issued theirs on Dec. ![]()
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